• ๐’ฒ๐‘’๐“๐’ธ๐‘œ๐“‚๐‘’ ๐“‰๐‘œ ๐“‚๐“Ž ๐“Œ๐‘’๐’ท๐“ˆ๐’พ๐“‰๐‘’! ๐’ฒ๐‘œ๐“Œ ๐“๐‘œ๐‘œ๐“€ ๐’ถ๐“‰ ๐“‰๐’ฝ๐’พ๐“ˆ ๐“‰๐‘’๐“๐“‰ ๐’ถ๐“๐“ ๐“‰๐’ฝ๐‘’ ๐“Œ๐’ถ๐“Ž ๐‘œ๐“ƒ ๐“‰๐’ฝ๐‘’ ๐“‰๐‘œ๐“… ๐‘œ๐’ป ๐“‰๐’ฝ๐‘’ ๐“…๐’ถ๐‘”๐‘’, ๐“Œ๐’ฝ๐’ถ๐“‰'๐“ˆ ๐’พ๐“‰ ๐’น๐‘œ๐’พ๐“ƒ๐‘” ๐’ฝ๐‘’๐“‡๐‘’? ๐ผ ๐’ท๐‘’๐“‰ ๐“‰๐’ฝ๐’ถ๐“‰'๐“ˆ ๐“Œ๐’ฝ๐’ถ๐“‰ ๐“Ž๐‘œ๐“Š'๐“‡๐‘’ ๐“Œ๐‘œ๐“ƒ๐’น๐‘’๐“‡๐’พ๐“ƒ๐‘”. ๐ผ๐’ป ๐“Ž๐‘œ๐“Š'๐“‡๐‘’ ๐“ƒ๐‘œ๐“‰ ๐“Œ๐‘œ๐“ƒ๐’น๐‘’๐“‡๐’พ๐“ƒ๐‘” ๐“‰๐’ฝ๐’ถ๐“‰ ๐“‰๐’ฝ๐‘’๐“ƒ ๐“‚๐’ถ๐“Ž๐’ท๐‘’ ๐“Ž๐‘œ๐“Š'๐“‡๐‘’ ๐“Œ๐‘œ๐“ƒ๐’น๐‘’๐“‡๐’พ๐“ƒ๐‘” ๐“Œ๐’ฝ๐’ถ๐“‰ ๐“Ž๐‘œ๐“Š ๐’ถ๐“‡๐‘’ ๐‘”๐‘œ๐’พ๐“ƒ๐‘” ๐“‰๐‘œ ๐’ฝ๐’ถ๐“‹๐‘’ ๐’ป๐‘œ๐“‡ ๐“๐“Š๐“ƒ๐’ธ๐’ฝ; ๐ผ ๐‘œ๐’ป๐“‰๐‘’๐“ƒ ๐“Œ๐‘œ๐“ƒ๐’น๐‘’๐“‡ ๐’ถ๐’ท๐‘œ๐“Š๐“‰ ๐“‰๐’ฝ๐’ถ๐“‰. ๐’œ๐“ƒ๐“Ž๐’ฝ๐‘œ๐“Œ, ๐’พ๐’ป ๐“Ž๐‘œ๐“Š'๐“‡๐‘’ ๐“ˆ๐“‰๐’พ๐“๐“ ๐“‡๐‘’๐’ถ๐’น๐’พ๐“ƒ๐‘” ๐“‰๐’ฝ๐’พ๐“ˆ ๐“‰๐‘’๐“๐“‰ ๐“ˆ๐’ธ๐“‡๐‘œ๐“๐“, ๐“๐‘’๐“‰ ๐“‚๐‘’ ๐’ฟ๐“Š๐“ˆ๐“‰ ๐“ˆ๐’ถ๐“Ž ๐“‰๐’ฝ๐’ถ๐“‰ ๐’พ๐“‰'๐“ˆ ๐’ถ ๐“…๐“๐‘’๐’ถ๐“ˆ๐“Š๐“‡๐‘’ ๐“‰๐‘œ ๐’ฝ๐’ถ๐“‹๐‘’ ๐“Ž๐‘œ๐“Š ๐’ธ๐‘œ๐“‚๐‘’ ๐’ถ๐“ƒ๐’น ๐“‹๐’พ๐“ˆ๐’พ๐“‰ ๐“‚๐“Ž ๐“Œ๐‘’๐’ท๐“…๐’ถ๐‘”๐‘’ ๐’ถ๐“ƒ๐’น ๐ผ ๐“‡๐‘’๐’ถ๐“๐“๐“Ž ๐’ฝ๐‘œ๐“…๐‘’ ๐“Ž๐‘œ๐“Š ๐’ป๐‘œ๐“๐“๐‘œ๐“Œ ๐’ถ๐“๐‘œ๐“ƒ๐‘” ๐’ถ๐“ƒ๐’น ๐“‚๐’ถ๐“Ž๐’ท๐‘’ ๐‘’๐“‹๐‘’๐“ƒ ๐’ท๐‘œ๐‘œ๐“€๐“‚๐’ถ๐“‡๐“€ ๐’พ๐“‰ ๐“ˆ๐‘œ ๐“Ž๐‘œ๐“Š ๐’ธ๐’ถ๐“ƒ ๐“‹๐’พ๐“ˆ๐’พ๐“‰ ๐’พ๐“‰ ๐“Œ๐’พ๐“‰๐’ฝ ๐‘’๐’ถ๐“ˆ๐‘’ ๐’พ๐“ƒ๐“ˆ๐’พ๐’น๐‘’ ๐“Ž๐‘œ๐“Š๐“‡ ๐“Œ๐‘’๐’ท ๐’ท๐“‡๐‘œ๐“Œ๐“ˆ๐‘’๐“‡ ๐‘œ๐’ป ๐’ธ๐’ฝ๐‘œ๐’พ๐’ธ๐‘’. ๐ผ ๐’ถ๐“‚ ๐’ถ๐“๐“ˆ๐‘œ ๐’ป๐’ถ๐’พ๐“‡๐“๐“Ž ๐’ถ๐’ธ๐“‰๐’พ๐“‹๐‘’ ๐‘œ๐“ƒ ๐’ถ ๐’ฝ๐‘œ๐“ˆ๐“‰ ๐‘œ๐’ป ๐“ˆ๐‘œ๐’ธ๐’พ๐’ถ๐“ ๐“‚๐‘’๐’น๐’พ๐’ถ ๐“…๐“๐’ถ๐“‰๐’ป๐‘œ๐“‡๐“‚๐“ˆ ๐“ˆ๐‘œ ๐“Ž๐‘œ๐“Š ๐’ธ๐’ถ๐“ƒ ๐’ป๐’พ๐“ƒ๐’น ๐“‚๐‘’ ๐‘œ๐“ƒ ๐“‰๐’ฝ๐‘œ๐“ˆ๐‘’, ๐’ถ๐“ƒ๐’น ๐“๐’พ๐“€๐‘’, ๐’ป๐‘œ๐“๐“๐‘œ๐“Œ, ๐“ˆ๐“Š๐’ท๐“ˆ๐’ธ๐“‡๐’พ๐’ท๐‘’ ๐’ถ๐“ƒ๐’น ๐‘”๐‘’๐“ƒ๐‘’๐“‡๐’ถ๐“๐“๐“Ž ๐’ฟ๐“Š๐“ˆ๐“‰ ๐’ฝ๐’ถ๐“‹๐‘’ ๐’ถ ๐“๐‘œ๐“‰ ๐‘œ๐’ป ๐’ป๐“Š๐“ƒ ๐“‡๐‘’๐’ถ๐’น๐’พ๐“ƒ๐‘” ๐’ถ๐“ƒ๐’น, ๐’พ๐’ป ๐’พ๐“‰ ๐“ˆ๐“‰๐“‡๐’พ๐“€๐‘’๐“ˆ ๐“Ž๐‘œ๐“Š๐“‡ ๐’ป๐’ถ๐“ƒ๐’ธ๐“Ž, *๐“ˆ๐’ฝ๐’ถ๐“‡๐’พ๐“ƒ๐‘”* (๐“Œ๐’พ๐“ƒ๐“€-๐“Œ๐’พ๐“ƒ๐“€) ๐“‚๐“Ž ๐“…๐‘œ๐“ˆ๐“‰๐“ˆ. ๐’ช๐’ฝ, ๐’ถ๐“๐“ˆ๐‘œ, ๐ผ ๐’ป๐‘œ๐“‡๐‘”๐‘œ๐“‰ ๐“‰๐‘œ ๐“‚๐‘’๐“ƒ๐“‰๐’พ๐‘œ๐“ƒ ๐“‰๐’ฝ๐’ถ๐“‰ ๐“‚๐“Ž ๐“ƒ๐’ถ๐“‚๐‘’'๐“ˆ ๐’ฅ๐‘’๐’ป๐’ป ๐’ถ๐“ƒ๐’น ๐ผ ๐“๐’พ๐“‹๐‘’ ๐’พ๐“ƒ ๐’ซ๐’ฝ๐’พ๐“๐’ถ๐’น๐‘’๐“๐“…๐’ฝ๐’พ๐’ถ ๐“ƒ๐‘œ๐“Œ. ๐‘€๐’ถ๐“Ž๐’ท๐‘’ ๐ผ'๐“๐“ ๐“๐’พ๐“‹๐‘’ ๐’พ๐“ƒ ๐’ถ ๐’น๐’พ๐’ป๐’ป๐‘’๐“‡๐‘’๐“ƒ๐“‰ ๐“…๐’ถ๐“‡๐“‰ ๐‘œ๐’ป ๐“‰๐’ฝ๐‘’ ๐“Œ๐‘œ๐“‡๐“๐’น ๐’พ๐“ƒ ๐“‰๐’ฝ๐‘’ ๐’ป๐“Š๐“‰๐“Š๐“‡๐‘’, ๐’ท๐“Š๐“‰ ๐“‰๐’ฝ๐’ถ๐“‰'๐“ˆ ๐“Œ๐’ฝ๐‘’๐“‡๐‘’ ๐ผ ๐“๐’พ๐“‹๐‘’ ๐’ป๐‘œ๐“‡ ๐“ƒ๐‘œ๐“Œ. ๐’ช๐’ฆ, ๐ผ ๐’ป๐‘’๐‘’๐“ ๐“๐’พ๐“€๐‘’ ๐ผ'๐“‹๐‘’ ๐“‰๐’ถ๐“€๐‘’๐“ƒ ๐“Š๐“… ๐‘’๐“ƒ๐‘œ๐“Š๐‘”๐’ฝ ๐‘œ๐’ป ๐“Ž๐‘œ๐“Š ๐“‰๐’พ๐“‚๐‘’ ๐’ฝ๐‘’๐“‡๐‘’ ๐‘œ๐“ƒ ๐“‰๐’ฝ๐‘’ ๐“‚๐’ถ๐“‡๐“†๐“Š๐‘’๐‘’๐‘’... ๐’ฎ๐‘œ ๐‘”๐‘’๐“‰ ๐“‰๐‘œ ๐’ธ๐“๐’พ๐’ธ๐“€๐’พ๐“ƒ' ๐’ถ๐“ƒ๐’น ๐“ˆ๐’ธ๐“‡๐‘œ๐“๐“๐’พ๐“ƒ'! ๐’ž๐“๐’พ๐’ธ๐“€๐’พ๐“ƒ'... ๐’ฎ๐’ธ๐“‡๐‘œ๐“๐“๐’พ๐“ƒ'...๐’ถ๐’ฝ, ๐’ฟ๐“Š๐“ˆ๐“‰ ๐“‰๐’ฝ๐‘’ ๐’ท๐‘’๐“ˆ๐“‰ ๐“ˆ๐“‰๐“Š๐’ป๐’ป ๐‘œ๐“ƒ ๐“‰๐’ฝ๐‘’ ๐‘’๐’ถ๐“‡๐“‰๐’ฝ ๐’พ๐“‚๐‘œ. ๐’œ ๐‘”๐‘œ๐‘œ๐’น ๐“…๐“๐’ถ๐’ธ๐‘’ ๐“‰๐‘œ ๐“ˆ๐“‰๐’ถ๐“‡๐“‰ ๐“‚๐’พ๐‘”๐’ฝ๐“‰ ๐’ท๐‘’ ๐“‰๐’ฝ๐‘’ ๐’น๐“‡๐‘œ๐“…-๐’น๐‘œ๐“Œ๐“ƒ ๐“‚๐‘’๐“ƒ๐“Š ๐’น๐’พ๐“‡๐‘’๐’ธ๐“‰๐“๐“Ž ๐’ท๐‘’๐“๐‘œ๐“Œ, ๐“Œ๐’ฝ๐’พ๐’ธ๐’ฝ ๐’พ๐“ˆ ๐“‰๐’ฝ๐‘’ ๐“‚๐‘œ๐“ˆ๐“‰ ๐’ธ๐‘œ๐“‚๐“…๐“‡๐‘’๐’ฝ๐‘’๐“ƒ๐“ˆ๐’พ๐“‹๐‘’ ๐“๐’พ๐“ˆ๐“‰ ๐‘œ๐’ป ๐’ถ๐“๐“ ๐“‰๐’ฝ๐‘’ ๐’น๐“Š๐“‚๐’ท ๐“…๐“‡๐‘œ๐’ฟ๐‘’๐’ธ๐“‰๐“ˆ ๐ผ'๐“‹๐‘’ ๐“‚๐’ถ๐’น๐‘’ ๐’พ๐“ƒ ๐“‰๐’ฝ๐‘’ ๐’ถ๐“‡๐“‰๐“ˆ. ๐ป๐’ถ๐“‹๐‘’ ๐’ถ ๐‘”๐‘œ๐‘œ๐’น ๐’น๐’ถ๐“Ž. ๐’ข๐‘œ๐’ท ๐’ท๐“๐‘’๐“ˆ๐“ˆ. ๐Ÿ’จ๐Ÿคข
   K E Y:  ✄= art ✎= lit ♪= music ✪= video;  = highly recommended content

Wednesday, October 4, 2017

WEDNESDAY NFL WEEK 4 PICK REVIEW + GUESSING THE LINES FOR WEEK 5

WEEK 4 ๐Ÿˆ 9-7
๐Ÿ— 0-1
๐Ÿถ 1-0
5️⃣ 4-1
๐Ÿšฉ 1-2


W e e k _ 4 ~๐Ÿ’ฃ ๐Ÿ’ซ ๐Ÿ…ฟ️ i c k s _ R e v i e w
๐Ÿ’ซ CHI @ GB (-7) | 14-35 (+14): easy peasy

๐Ÿ’ฃ NO "@" MIA (+3) | 20-0 (-17): yikes, bad call here; Dolphins are a mess (2nd London game)

๐Ÿ’ฃ PIT @ BAL (-3) | 26-9 (-14): first of several bad calls for me, esp. in the early games

๐Ÿ’ฃ TEN (-1.5) @ HOU | 14-57 (-41.5): don't bet against Watson (3-0 ATS folks)

๐Ÿ’ฃ CAR @ NE (-9.5) | 33-30 (-12.5): have to wonder IF the Pats will ever figure out there D issues

๐Ÿ’ซ JAX @ NYJ (+3.5) | 20-23 (+6.5): my 3rd Upset Special™ to hit in a row

๐Ÿ’ซ DET (+2) @ MIN | 14-7 (+9): Lions a few inches away from being 4-0

๐Ÿ’ฃ BUF @ ATL (-8.5) | 23-17 (-14.5): I still feel wary about the Bills but hard to argue with last two weeks

๐Ÿ’ซ CIN (-3) @ CLE | 31-7 (+21): easy peasy BUT not sure how I feel about Bengals going forward

๐Ÿ’ซ LAR (+6.5) @ DAL | 35-30 (+11.5): the start of a 4-1 in my Top 5 for me; not going to overrate this result though

๐Ÿ’ฃ NYG @ TB (-3) | 23-25 (-1): of course I pick against my Giants and they lose but still cover at +3 (that kinda year as a fan)

๐Ÿ’ซ SF (+7) @ AZ | 15-18 (+4): the extra days theory pays off

๐Ÿ’ฃ PHI @ LAC (-1) | 26-24 (-3): my lock of the week bombs; never pick the Chargers in their building is the lesson

๐Ÿ’ซ OAK @ DEN (-3) | 10-16 (+3): Denver D continues to impress; Raiders seemingly at a crossroads in a season of high expectations

๐Ÿ’ฃ IND @ SEA (-13) | 18-46 (+15): took a LONG time to get going but Seattle ends up covering easily as I expected

๐Ÿ’ซ WSH @ KC (-7) | 20-29 (+2): an all-time bad beat and/or miracle cover

GENERAL NOTES:

• Week 4 Underdogs ATS: 8-8 (Year: 36-26-1) • Underdogs (3+) winning outright (3 ๐Ÿฉ*road): NYJ, LAR*, BUF* (16 on year)

• Week 4 Home Teams ATS: 7-9 (Year: 32-30-1)

• AFC leads NFC 8-7 ATS on the year in head-to-head's

• No longer tracking over-under stats and also avg. cover #s (below)

GUESSING WEEK 5 LINES:
Listen here.

TEAM BY TEAM (TO DATE):
๐Ÿ’™ NYG: 2-2 ATS | 0-1 HOME | 1-3 ROAD | 0-2-2 OVERALL
๐Ÿ‘ข DAL: 2-2 ATS | 1-1 HOME | 1-1 ROAD | 2-1-1 OVERALL
๐Ÿฆ… PHI: 2-2 ATS | 2-1 ROAD | 0-1 HOME | 1-1-2 OVERALL
❓ WSH: 2-2 ATS | 1-1 HOME | 1-1 ROAD | 2-1-1 OVERALL ๐Ÿฉ x 2

๐ŸŽบ MIN: 2-2 ATS | 2-1 HOME | 0-1 ROAD | 2-2-0 OVERALL
๐Ÿง€ GB: 2-2 ATS | 1-1 HOME | 1-1 ROAD | 2-1-1 OVERALL
๐Ÿป CHI: 2-1 ATS | 2-0 HOME | 0-1 ROAD | 1-2-1 OVERALL ๐Ÿฉ x 1
๐Ÿฆ DET: 3-1 ATS | 1-1 HOME | 2-0 ROAD | 2-0-2 OVERALL ๐Ÿฉ x 1

⚔️ TB: 1-2 ATS | 1-1 HOME | 0-1 ROAD | 1-1-1 OVERALL
๐Ÿ•Š ATL: 2-2 ATS | 1-1 HOME | 1-1 ROAD | 1-0-3 OVERALL
๐Ÿฑ CAR: 2-2 ATS | 0-2 HOME | 2-0 ROAD | 1-1-2 OVERALL
⚜️ NO: 2-2 ATS | 0-1 HOME | 2-1 ROAD | 2-2-0 OVERALL ๐Ÿฉ x 1

๐Ÿ’ฐ SF: 3-1 ATS | 1-1 HOME | 2-0 ROAD | 0-1-3 OVERALL
๐Ÿ›‘ AZ: 0-4 ATS | 0-2 HOME | 0-2 ROAD | 0-2-2 OVERALL
๐Ÿฆ SEA: 1-3 ATS | 1-1 HOME | 0-2 ROAD | 1-1-2 OVERALL
๐Ÿ‘ LAR: 2-2 ATS | 1-1 HOME | 1-1 ROAD | 1-1-2 OVERALL ๐Ÿฉ x 1

๐Ÿคก NE: 1-3 ATS | 0-3 HOME | 1-0 ROAD | 1-1-2 OVERALL
๐Ÿฌ MIA 1-2 ATS | 0-1 HOME | 1-1 ROAD | 0-2-1
๐Ÿ…ฑ️ BUF: 4-0 ATS | 2-0 HOME | 2-0 ROAD | 1-0-3 OVERALL ๐Ÿฉ x 2
✈️ NYJ: 2-2 ATS | 2-0 HOME | 0-2 ROAD | 1-2-1 OVERALL ๐Ÿฉ x 2

⚫️ PIT: 2-2 ATS | 1-0 HOME | 1-2 ROAD | 2-0-2 OVERALL
๐Ÿ• CLE: 1-3 ATS | 1-1 HOME | 0-2 ROAD | 0-3-1 OVERALL
๐Ÿง BAL: 2-2 ATS | 1-1 HOME | 1-1 ROAD | 2-2-0 OVERALL ๐Ÿฉ x 1
๐Ÿฏ CIN: 2-2 ATS | 0-2 HOME | 2-0 ROAD | 1-2-1 OVERALL

๐Ÿค  HOU: 3-1 ATS | 1-1 HOME | 2-0 ROAD | 2-1-1 OVERALL ๐Ÿฉ x 1
๐Ÿ† JAX: 2-2 ATS | 1-1 HOME | 1-1 ROAD | 2-1-1 OVERALL ๐Ÿฉ x 2
๐Ÿ‹️ TEN: 2-2 ATS | 1-1 HOME | 1-1 ROAD | 1-1-2 OVERALL
๐Ÿด IND: 2-2 ATS | 2-0 HOME | 0-2 ROAD | 1-2-1 OVERALL

⚡️ LAC: 0-3-1 ATS | 0-3 HOME | 0-0-1 ROAD | 0-1-3 OVERALL
๐Ÿ‡ DEN: 2-1-1 ATS | 2-0-1 HOME | 0-1 ROAD | 2-0-2 OVERALL
☠️ OAK: 2-2 ATS | 1-0 HOME | 1-2 ROAD | 1-2-1 OVERALL ๐Ÿฉ x 1
๐Ÿ”บ KC: 4-0 ATS | 1-0 HOME | 2-0 ROAD | 3-0-1 OVERALL ๐Ÿฉ x 1

THE YEAR ๐Ÿˆ 36-26-1
๐Ÿ— 2-3
๐Ÿถ 3-2
5️⃣ 13-7
๐Ÿšฉ 6-6

HISTORICAL
2015: 141-110-5
2016: 120-129-7
ALL-TIME: 261-239-12