• ๐’ฒ๐‘’๐“๐’ธ๐‘œ๐“‚๐‘’ ๐“‰๐‘œ ๐“‚๐“Ž ๐“Œ๐‘’๐’ท๐“ˆ๐’พ๐“‰๐‘’! ๐’ฒ๐‘œ๐“Œ ๐“๐‘œ๐‘œ๐“€ ๐’ถ๐“‰ ๐“‰๐’ฝ๐’พ๐“ˆ ๐“‰๐‘’๐“๐“‰ ๐’ถ๐“๐“ ๐“‰๐’ฝ๐‘’ ๐“Œ๐’ถ๐“Ž ๐‘œ๐“ƒ ๐“‰๐’ฝ๐‘’ ๐“‰๐‘œ๐“… ๐‘œ๐’ป ๐“‰๐’ฝ๐‘’ ๐“…๐’ถ๐‘”๐‘’, ๐“Œ๐’ฝ๐’ถ๐“‰'๐“ˆ ๐’พ๐“‰ ๐’น๐‘œ๐’พ๐“ƒ๐‘” ๐’ฝ๐‘’๐“‡๐‘’? ๐ผ ๐’ท๐‘’๐“‰ ๐“‰๐’ฝ๐’ถ๐“‰'๐“ˆ ๐“Œ๐’ฝ๐’ถ๐“‰ ๐“Ž๐‘œ๐“Š'๐“‡๐‘’ ๐“Œ๐‘œ๐“ƒ๐’น๐‘’๐“‡๐’พ๐“ƒ๐‘”. ๐ผ๐’ป ๐“Ž๐‘œ๐“Š'๐“‡๐‘’ ๐“ƒ๐‘œ๐“‰ ๐“Œ๐‘œ๐“ƒ๐’น๐‘’๐“‡๐’พ๐“ƒ๐‘” ๐“‰๐’ฝ๐’ถ๐“‰ ๐“‰๐’ฝ๐‘’๐“ƒ ๐“‚๐’ถ๐“Ž๐’ท๐‘’ ๐“Ž๐‘œ๐“Š'๐“‡๐‘’ ๐“Œ๐‘œ๐“ƒ๐’น๐‘’๐“‡๐’พ๐“ƒ๐‘” ๐“Œ๐’ฝ๐’ถ๐“‰ ๐“Ž๐‘œ๐“Š ๐’ถ๐“‡๐‘’ ๐‘”๐‘œ๐’พ๐“ƒ๐‘” ๐“‰๐‘œ ๐’ฝ๐’ถ๐“‹๐‘’ ๐’ป๐‘œ๐“‡ ๐“๐“Š๐“ƒ๐’ธ๐’ฝ; ๐ผ ๐‘œ๐’ป๐“‰๐‘’๐“ƒ ๐“Œ๐‘œ๐“ƒ๐’น๐‘’๐“‡ ๐’ถ๐’ท๐‘œ๐“Š๐“‰ ๐“‰๐’ฝ๐’ถ๐“‰. ๐’œ๐“ƒ๐“Ž๐’ฝ๐‘œ๐“Œ, ๐’พ๐’ป ๐“Ž๐‘œ๐“Š'๐“‡๐‘’ ๐“ˆ๐“‰๐’พ๐“๐“ ๐“‡๐‘’๐’ถ๐’น๐’พ๐“ƒ๐‘” ๐“‰๐’ฝ๐’พ๐“ˆ ๐“‰๐‘’๐“๐“‰ ๐“ˆ๐’ธ๐“‡๐‘œ๐“๐“, ๐“๐‘’๐“‰ ๐“‚๐‘’ ๐’ฟ๐“Š๐“ˆ๐“‰ ๐“ˆ๐’ถ๐“Ž ๐“‰๐’ฝ๐’ถ๐“‰ ๐’พ๐“‰'๐“ˆ ๐’ถ ๐“…๐“๐‘’๐’ถ๐“ˆ๐“Š๐“‡๐‘’ ๐“‰๐‘œ ๐’ฝ๐’ถ๐“‹๐‘’ ๐“Ž๐‘œ๐“Š ๐’ธ๐‘œ๐“‚๐‘’ ๐’ถ๐“ƒ๐’น ๐“‹๐’พ๐“ˆ๐’พ๐“‰ ๐“‚๐“Ž ๐“Œ๐‘’๐’ท๐“…๐’ถ๐‘”๐‘’ ๐’ถ๐“ƒ๐’น ๐ผ ๐“‡๐‘’๐’ถ๐“๐“๐“Ž ๐’ฝ๐‘œ๐“…๐‘’ ๐“Ž๐‘œ๐“Š ๐’ป๐‘œ๐“๐“๐‘œ๐“Œ ๐’ถ๐“๐‘œ๐“ƒ๐‘” ๐’ถ๐“ƒ๐’น ๐“‚๐’ถ๐“Ž๐’ท๐‘’ ๐‘’๐“‹๐‘’๐“ƒ ๐’ท๐‘œ๐‘œ๐“€๐“‚๐’ถ๐“‡๐“€ ๐’พ๐“‰ ๐“ˆ๐‘œ ๐“Ž๐‘œ๐“Š ๐’ธ๐’ถ๐“ƒ ๐“‹๐’พ๐“ˆ๐’พ๐“‰ ๐’พ๐“‰ ๐“Œ๐’พ๐“‰๐’ฝ ๐‘’๐’ถ๐“ˆ๐‘’ ๐’พ๐“ƒ๐“ˆ๐’พ๐’น๐‘’ ๐“Ž๐‘œ๐“Š๐“‡ ๐“Œ๐‘’๐’ท ๐’ท๐“‡๐‘œ๐“Œ๐“ˆ๐‘’๐“‡ ๐‘œ๐’ป ๐’ธ๐’ฝ๐‘œ๐’พ๐’ธ๐‘’. ๐ผ ๐’ถ๐“‚ ๐’ถ๐“๐“ˆ๐‘œ ๐’ป๐’ถ๐’พ๐“‡๐“๐“Ž ๐’ถ๐’ธ๐“‰๐’พ๐“‹๐‘’ ๐‘œ๐“ƒ ๐’ถ ๐’ฝ๐‘œ๐“ˆ๐“‰ ๐‘œ๐’ป ๐“ˆ๐‘œ๐’ธ๐’พ๐’ถ๐“ ๐“‚๐‘’๐’น๐’พ๐’ถ ๐“…๐“๐’ถ๐“‰๐’ป๐‘œ๐“‡๐“‚๐“ˆ ๐“ˆ๐‘œ ๐“Ž๐‘œ๐“Š ๐’ธ๐’ถ๐“ƒ ๐’ป๐’พ๐“ƒ๐’น ๐“‚๐‘’ ๐‘œ๐“ƒ ๐“‰๐’ฝ๐‘œ๐“ˆ๐‘’, ๐’ถ๐“ƒ๐’น ๐“๐’พ๐“€๐‘’, ๐’ป๐‘œ๐“๐“๐‘œ๐“Œ, ๐“ˆ๐“Š๐’ท๐“ˆ๐’ธ๐“‡๐’พ๐’ท๐‘’ ๐’ถ๐“ƒ๐’น ๐‘”๐‘’๐“ƒ๐‘’๐“‡๐’ถ๐“๐“๐“Ž ๐’ฟ๐“Š๐“ˆ๐“‰ ๐’ฝ๐’ถ๐“‹๐‘’ ๐’ถ ๐“๐‘œ๐“‰ ๐‘œ๐’ป ๐’ป๐“Š๐“ƒ ๐“‡๐‘’๐’ถ๐’น๐’พ๐“ƒ๐‘” ๐’ถ๐“ƒ๐’น, ๐’พ๐’ป ๐’พ๐“‰ ๐“ˆ๐“‰๐“‡๐’พ๐“€๐‘’๐“ˆ ๐“Ž๐‘œ๐“Š๐“‡ ๐’ป๐’ถ๐“ƒ๐’ธ๐“Ž, *๐“ˆ๐’ฝ๐’ถ๐“‡๐’พ๐“ƒ๐‘”* (๐“Œ๐’พ๐“ƒ๐“€-๐“Œ๐’พ๐“ƒ๐“€) ๐“‚๐“Ž ๐“…๐‘œ๐“ˆ๐“‰๐“ˆ. ๐’ช๐’ฝ, ๐’ถ๐“๐“ˆ๐‘œ, ๐ผ ๐’ป๐‘œ๐“‡๐‘”๐‘œ๐“‰ ๐“‰๐‘œ ๐“‚๐‘’๐“ƒ๐“‰๐’พ๐‘œ๐“ƒ ๐“‰๐’ฝ๐’ถ๐“‰ ๐“‚๐“Ž ๐“ƒ๐’ถ๐“‚๐‘’'๐“ˆ ๐’ฅ๐‘’๐’ป๐’ป ๐’ถ๐“ƒ๐’น ๐ผ ๐“๐’พ๐“‹๐‘’ ๐’พ๐“ƒ ๐’ซ๐’ฝ๐’พ๐“๐’ถ๐’น๐‘’๐“๐“…๐’ฝ๐’พ๐’ถ ๐“ƒ๐‘œ๐“Œ. ๐‘€๐’ถ๐“Ž๐’ท๐‘’ ๐ผ'๐“๐“ ๐“๐’พ๐“‹๐‘’ ๐’พ๐“ƒ ๐’ถ ๐’น๐’พ๐’ป๐’ป๐‘’๐“‡๐‘’๐“ƒ๐“‰ ๐“…๐’ถ๐“‡๐“‰ ๐‘œ๐’ป ๐“‰๐’ฝ๐‘’ ๐“Œ๐‘œ๐“‡๐“๐’น ๐’พ๐“ƒ ๐“‰๐’ฝ๐‘’ ๐’ป๐“Š๐“‰๐“Š๐“‡๐‘’, ๐’ท๐“Š๐“‰ ๐“‰๐’ฝ๐’ถ๐“‰'๐“ˆ ๐“Œ๐’ฝ๐‘’๐“‡๐‘’ ๐ผ ๐“๐’พ๐“‹๐‘’ ๐’ป๐‘œ๐“‡ ๐“ƒ๐‘œ๐“Œ. ๐’ช๐’ฆ, ๐ผ ๐’ป๐‘’๐‘’๐“ ๐“๐’พ๐“€๐‘’ ๐ผ'๐“‹๐‘’ ๐“‰๐’ถ๐“€๐‘’๐“ƒ ๐“Š๐“… ๐‘’๐“ƒ๐‘œ๐“Š๐‘”๐’ฝ ๐‘œ๐’ป ๐“Ž๐‘œ๐“Š ๐“‰๐’พ๐“‚๐‘’ ๐’ฝ๐‘’๐“‡๐‘’ ๐‘œ๐“ƒ ๐“‰๐’ฝ๐‘’ ๐“‚๐’ถ๐“‡๐“†๐“Š๐‘’๐‘’๐‘’... ๐’ฎ๐‘œ ๐‘”๐‘’๐“‰ ๐“‰๐‘œ ๐’ธ๐“๐’พ๐’ธ๐“€๐’พ๐“ƒ' ๐’ถ๐“ƒ๐’น ๐“ˆ๐’ธ๐“‡๐‘œ๐“๐“๐’พ๐“ƒ'! ๐’ž๐“๐’พ๐’ธ๐“€๐’พ๐“ƒ'... ๐’ฎ๐’ธ๐“‡๐‘œ๐“๐“๐’พ๐“ƒ'...๐’ถ๐’ฝ, ๐’ฟ๐“Š๐“ˆ๐“‰ ๐“‰๐’ฝ๐‘’ ๐’ท๐‘’๐“ˆ๐“‰ ๐“ˆ๐“‰๐“Š๐’ป๐’ป ๐‘œ๐“ƒ ๐“‰๐’ฝ๐‘’ ๐‘’๐’ถ๐“‡๐“‰๐’ฝ ๐’พ๐“‚๐‘œ. ๐’œ ๐‘”๐‘œ๐‘œ๐’น ๐“…๐“๐’ถ๐’ธ๐‘’ ๐“‰๐‘œ ๐“ˆ๐“‰๐’ถ๐“‡๐“‰ ๐“‚๐’พ๐‘”๐’ฝ๐“‰ ๐’ท๐‘’ ๐“‰๐’ฝ๐‘’ ๐’น๐“‡๐‘œ๐“…-๐’น๐‘œ๐“Œ๐“ƒ ๐“‚๐‘’๐“ƒ๐“Š ๐’น๐’พ๐“‡๐‘’๐’ธ๐“‰๐“๐“Ž ๐’ท๐‘’๐“๐‘œ๐“Œ, ๐“Œ๐’ฝ๐’พ๐’ธ๐’ฝ ๐’พ๐“ˆ ๐“‰๐’ฝ๐‘’ ๐“‚๐‘œ๐“ˆ๐“‰ ๐’ธ๐‘œ๐“‚๐“…๐“‡๐‘’๐’ฝ๐‘’๐“ƒ๐“ˆ๐’พ๐“‹๐‘’ ๐“๐’พ๐“ˆ๐“‰ ๐‘œ๐’ป ๐’ถ๐“๐“ ๐“‰๐’ฝ๐‘’ ๐’น๐“Š๐“‚๐’ท ๐“…๐“‡๐‘œ๐’ฟ๐‘’๐’ธ๐“‰๐“ˆ ๐ผ'๐“‹๐‘’ ๐“‚๐’ถ๐’น๐‘’ ๐’พ๐“ƒ ๐“‰๐’ฝ๐‘’ ๐’ถ๐“‡๐“‰๐“ˆ. ๐ป๐’ถ๐“‹๐‘’ ๐’ถ ๐‘”๐‘œ๐‘œ๐’น ๐’น๐’ถ๐“Ž. ๐’ข๐‘œ๐’ท ๐’ท๐“๐‘’๐“ˆ๐“ˆ. ๐Ÿ’จ๐Ÿคข
   K E Y:  ✄= art ✎= lit ♪= music ✪= video;  = highly recommended content

Wednesday, September 20, 2017

WEDNESDAY NFL WEEK 2 PICK REVIEW + GUESSING THE LINES FOR WEEK 3

WEEK 2 ๐Ÿˆ 10-6
๐Ÿ— 0-1
๐Ÿถ 0-1
5️⃣ 1-4
๐Ÿšฉ 1-2


W e e k _ 2 ~๐Ÿ’ฃ ๐Ÿ’ซ ๐Ÿ…ฟ️ i c k s _ R e v i e w
๐Ÿ’ซ HOU (+6.5) @ CIN | 13-9 ⬇︎16.5: bengals might be really bad; the under just keeps ripping hard

๐Ÿ’ซ BUF (+7) @ CAR | 3-9 ⬇︎31.5: incredibly ugly game; still leaves many ?'s about both sides long-term imo

๐Ÿ’ฃ CLE (+8) @ BAL | 10-24 ⬇︎5.5: still vastly underrated this Baltimore team potentially, although can't glean much (W's v CIN, CLE)

๐Ÿ’ฃ CHI (+6.5) @ TB | 7-29 ⬇︎8: probably my worst call of the week with TB up 26-0 at half; is CHI this bad or TB this good?

๐Ÿ’ซ TEN (-1.5) @ JAX | 37-16 ⬆︎11.5: one of my better calls;

๐Ÿ’ซ AZ @ IND (+7) | 16-13 OT ⬇︎14.5: ugh, really wanted this upset special to pay off; two bad beats with my U.S.'s (Bears in W1)

๐Ÿ’ซ PHI @ KC (-6) | 27-20 ⬆︎0.5: game went nearly as I thought with Philly hanging tough for a good chunk of it; KC @ SD W3 feels like a stay-away early

๐Ÿ’ซ NE (-6.5) @ NO | 36-20 ⬆︎1: LOCK; easy money

๐Ÿ’ซ MIN @ PIT (-6) | 9-26 ⬇︎8: kickoff was around 9/9.6 because of Bradford scratch

๐Ÿ’ฃ MIA @ LAC (3.5) | 17-19 ⬇︎10: id I'd known about that crowd attendance I'd have never picked the Chargers

๐Ÿ’ซ NYJ @ OAK (-13.5) | 20-45 ⬆︎21: a fateful muffed punt stifled what was an admirable first half effort by NYJ; not sure they don't still get blown out though

๐Ÿ’ซ SF (+14) @ SEA | 9-12 ⬇︎20.5: was pretty worried about this pick beforehand but ended up being an easy one; SEA has some real offensive issues

๐Ÿ’ซ WSH (+3) @ LAR | 27-20 O/U PUSH: didn't pick up much from this game, but looked to be a fairly easy cover/outright road win

๐Ÿ’ฃ DAL (-2.5) @ DEN | 17-42 ⬆︎15: oh wait this was my worst call of the week

๐Ÿ’ฃ GB (+3) @ ATL | 23-34 ⬆︎2: another disappointing misfire on my end; both teams are playoffs-bound though

๐Ÿ’ฃ DET @ NYG (-3) | 10-24 ⬇︎8.5: feels like I won't be picking NYG unless they're TD+ dogs this season *tear*

GENERAL NOTES:

• Week 2 Underdogs ATS: 8-8 (Year: 15-15-1) • Underdogs (3+) winning outright (3 ๐Ÿฉ*road): HOU*, WSH*, DET* (7 on year)

• Week 2 Home Teams ATS: 8-8 (Year: 16-14-1)

• AFC is 4-1 ATS vs the NFC thus far on the year in head-to-head's

• Unders went 9-6-1; now 19-11-1 on year (also of note: 3 of the 6 over covers went JUST over; whereas unders covered by 13+ points on avg)

• 11 of 16 teams covered by 8 points or more... 6 were favorites; 5 dogs––meaning? lines are still off

• Tough to end week on an 0-3 run with the featured games after 10-3 start :(

GUESSING WEEK 3 LINES:
Listen here.

TEAM BY TEAM (TO DATE):
๐Ÿ’™ NYG: 0-2 ATS | 0-1 HOME ATS -17 AVG | 0-1 ROAD -10 AVG | 0-2-0 OVERALL
๐Ÿ‘ข DAL: 1-1 ATS | 1-0 HOME +10 AVG | 0-1 ROAD -27.5 AVG | 1-0-0 OVERALL
๐Ÿฆ… PHI: 1-1 ATS | 1-1 ROAD +6.5 AVG | 1-1-0 OVERALL
❓ WSH: 1-1 ATS | 0-1 HOME -12 AVG | 1-0 ROAD +10 AVG 1-1-0 OVERALL ๐Ÿฉ x 1

๐ŸŽบ MIN: 1-1 ATS | 1-0 HOME +7 AVG | 0-1 ROAD -11 AVG | 1-1-0 OVERALL
๐Ÿง€ GB: 1-0 ATS | 1-0 HOME +5.5 AVG | 1-0-0 OVERALL
๐Ÿป CHI: 1-1 ATS | 1-0 HOME +0.5 AVG | 0-1 ROAD -15.5 AVG | 0-1-1 OVERALL
๐Ÿฆ DET: 2-0 ATS | 1-0 HOME ATS +14.5 AVG | 1-0 ROAD +17 AVG2-0-0 OVERALL ๐Ÿฉ x 1

⚔️ TB: 1-0 ATS | 1-0 HOME +15.5 AVG | 1-0-0 OVERALL
๐Ÿ•Š ATL: 0-1 ATS | 0-1 ROAD +0.5 AVG | 0-0-1 OVERALL
๐Ÿฑ CAR: 1-0 ATS | 1-0 ROAD +15 AVG | 1-0-0 OVERALL
⚜️ NO: 0-2 ATS | 0-1 HOME -9.5 AVG | 0-1 ROAD -7 AVG | 0-2-0 OVERALL

๐Ÿ’ฐ SF: 1-1 ATS | 1-1 HOME -2 AVG | 0-0-2 OVERALL
๐Ÿ›‘ AZ: 0-2 ATS | 0-2 ROAD -9.25 AVG | 0-1-1 OVERALL
๐Ÿฆ SEA: 0-1 ATS | 0-1 ROAD -5.5 AVG | 0-1-0 OVERALL
๐Ÿ‘ LAR: 1-1 ATS | 1-1 HOME +10.75 AVG | 1-1-0 OVERALL

๐Ÿคก NE: 1-1 ATS | 0-1 HOME -23 AVG | 1-0 ROAD +9.5 AVG | 1-1-0 OVERALL
๐Ÿฌ MIA 1-0 ATS | 1-0 ROAD +5.5 | 0-0-1
๐Ÿ…ฑ️ BUF: 2-0 ATS | 1-0 HOME +1.5 AVG | 1-0 ROAD +1 AVF | 1-0-1 OVERALL
✈️ NYJ: 0-1 ATS | 0-1 ROAD -1.5 AVG | 0-1-0 OVERALL

⚫️ PIT: 1-1 ATS | 1-0 HOME +11 AVG | 0-1 ROAD -7 AVG | 1-0-1 OVERALL
๐Ÿ• CLE: 1-1 ATS | 1-0 HOME +7 AVG | 0-1 ROAD -6 AVG | 0-1-1 OVERALL
๐Ÿง BAL: 2-0 ATS | 1-0 HOME +6 AVG | 1-0 ROAD +22.5 AVG | 2-0-0 OVERALL ๐Ÿฉ x 1
๐Ÿฏ CIN: 0-1 ATS | 0-2 HOME -16.5 AVG | 0-2-0 OVERALL

๐Ÿค  HOU: 1-1 ATS | 0-1 HOME -28 AVG | 1-0 ROAD -10.5 AVG | 1-1-0 OVERALL ๐Ÿฉ x 1
๐Ÿ† JAX: 1-1 ATS | 0-1 HOME -19.5 AVG | 1-0 ROAD +28 AVG | 1-0-0 OVERALL ๐Ÿฉ x 1
๐Ÿ‹️ TEN: 0-1 ATS | 0-1 HOME -12.5 AVG | 1-0 ROAD +19.5 AVG | 1-0-1 OVERALL
๐Ÿด IND: 1-1 ATS | 1-0 HOME +4 AVG | 0-1 ROAD -33.5 AVG | 0-1-1 OVERALL

⚡️ LAC: 0-1-1 ATS | 0-1 HOME -5.5 AVG | 0-0-1 ROAD 0 AVG| 0-0-2 OVERALL
๐Ÿ‡ DEN: 1-0-1 ATS | 1-0-1 HOME +13.75 AVG | 1-0-1 OVERALL
☠️ OAK: 1-0 ATS | 1-0 ROAD +12.5 AVG | 0-0-1 OVERALL ๐Ÿฉ x 1
๐Ÿ”บ KC: 2-0 ATS | 1-0 HOME +1 AVG | 1-0 ROAD +23 AVG | 2-0-0 OVERALL ๐Ÿฉ x 1

THE YEAR ๐Ÿˆ 15-15-1
๐Ÿ— 1-1
๐Ÿถ 0-2
5️⃣ 5-5
๐Ÿšฉ 2-4

HISTORICAL
2015: 141-110-5
2016: 120-129-7
ALL-TIME: 261-239-12