𝒲𝑒𝓁𝒸𝑜𝓂𝑒 𝓉𝑜 𝓂𝓎 𝓌𝑒𝒷𝓈𝒾𝓉𝑒! 𝒲𝑜𝓌 𝓁𝑜𝑜𝓀 𝒶𝓉 𝓉𝒽𝒾𝓈 𝓉𝑒𝓍𝓉 𝒶𝓁𝓁 𝓉𝒽𝑒 𝓌𝒶𝓎 𝑜𝓃 𝓉𝒽𝑒 𝓉𝑜𝓅 𝑜𝒻 𝓉𝒽𝑒 𝓅𝒶𝑔𝑒, 𝓌𝒽𝒶𝓉'𝓈 𝒾𝓉 𝒹𝑜𝒾𝓃𝑔 𝒽𝑒𝓇𝑒? 𝐼 𝒷𝑒𝓉 𝓉𝒽𝒶𝓉'𝓈 𝓌𝒽𝒶𝓉 𝓎𝑜𝓊'𝓇𝑒 𝓌𝑜𝓃𝒹𝑒𝓇𝒾𝓃𝑔. 𝐼𝒻 𝓎𝑜𝓊'𝓇𝑒 𝓃𝑜𝓉 𝓌𝑜𝓃𝒹𝑒𝓇𝒾𝓃𝑔 𝓉𝒽𝒶𝓉 𝓉𝒽𝑒𝓃 𝓂𝒶𝓎𝒷𝑒 𝓎𝑜𝓊'𝓇𝑒 𝓌𝑜𝓃𝒹𝑒𝓇𝒾𝓃𝑔 𝓌𝒽𝒶𝓉 𝓎𝑜𝓊 𝒶𝓇𝑒 𝑔𝑜𝒾𝓃𝑔 𝓉𝑜 𝒽𝒶𝓋𝑒 𝒻𝑜𝓇 𝓁𝓊𝓃𝒸𝒽; 𝐼 𝑜𝒻𝓉𝑒𝓃 𝓌𝑜𝓃𝒹𝑒𝓇 𝒶𝒷𝑜𝓊𝓉 𝓉𝒽𝒶𝓉. 𝒜𝓃𝓎𝒽𝑜𝓌, 𝒾𝒻 𝓎𝑜𝓊'𝓇𝑒 𝓈𝓉𝒾𝓁𝓁 𝓇𝑒𝒶𝒹𝒾𝓃𝑔 𝓉𝒽𝒾𝓈 𝓉𝑒𝓍𝓉 𝓈𝒸𝓇𝑜𝓁𝓁, 𝓁𝑒𝓉 𝓂𝑒 𝒿𝓊𝓈𝓉 𝓈𝒶𝓎 𝓉𝒽𝒶𝓉 𝒾𝓉'𝓈 𝒶 𝓅𝓁𝑒𝒶𝓈𝓊𝓇𝑒 𝓉𝑜 𝒽𝒶𝓋𝑒 𝓎𝑜𝓊 𝒸𝑜𝓂𝑒 𝒶𝓃𝒹 𝓋𝒾𝓈𝒾𝓉 𝓂𝓎 𝓌𝑒𝒷𝓅𝒶𝑔𝑒 𝒶𝓃𝒹 𝐼 𝓇𝑒𝒶𝓁𝓁𝓎 𝒽𝑜𝓅𝑒 𝓎𝑜𝓊 𝒻𝑜𝓁𝓁𝑜𝓌 𝒶𝓁𝑜𝓃𝑔 𝒶𝓃𝒹 𝓂𝒶𝓎𝒷𝑒 𝑒𝓋𝑒𝓃 𝒷𝑜𝑜𝓀𝓂𝒶𝓇𝓀 𝒾𝓉 𝓈𝑜 𝓎𝑜𝓊 𝒸𝒶𝓃 𝓋𝒾𝓈𝒾𝓉 𝒾𝓉 𝓌𝒾𝓉𝒽 𝑒𝒶𝓈𝑒 𝒾𝓃𝓈𝒾𝒹𝑒 𝓎𝑜𝓊𝓇 𝓌𝑒𝒷 𝒷𝓇𝑜𝓌𝓈𝑒𝓇 𝑜𝒻 𝒸𝒽𝑜𝒾𝒸𝑒. 𝐼 𝒶𝓂 𝒶𝓁𝓈𝑜 𝒻𝒶𝒾𝓇𝓁𝓎 𝒶𝒸𝓉𝒾𝓋𝑒 𝑜𝓃 𝒶 𝒽𝑜𝓈𝓉 𝑜𝒻 𝓈𝑜𝒸𝒾𝒶𝓁 𝓂𝑒𝒹𝒾𝒶 𝓅𝓁𝒶𝓉𝒻𝑜𝓇𝓂𝓈 𝓈𝑜 𝓎𝑜𝓊 𝒸𝒶𝓃 𝒻𝒾𝓃𝒹 𝓂𝑒 𝑜𝓃 𝓉𝒽𝑜𝓈𝑒, 𝒶𝓃𝒹 𝓁𝒾𝓀𝑒, 𝒻𝑜𝓁𝓁𝑜𝓌, 𝓈𝓊𝒷𝓈𝒸𝓇𝒾𝒷𝑒 𝒶𝓃𝒹 𝑔𝑒𝓃𝑒𝓇𝒶𝓁𝓁𝓎 𝒿𝓊𝓈𝓉 𝒽𝒶𝓋𝑒 𝒶 𝓁𝑜𝓉 𝑜𝒻 𝒻𝓊𝓃 𝓇𝑒𝒶𝒹𝒾𝓃𝑔 𝒶𝓃𝒹, 𝒾𝒻 𝒾𝓉 𝓈𝓉𝓇𝒾𝓀𝑒𝓈 𝓎𝑜𝓊𝓇 𝒻𝒶𝓃𝒸𝓎, *𝓈𝒽𝒶𝓇𝒾𝓃𝑔* (𝓌𝒾𝓃𝓀-𝓌𝒾𝓃𝓀) 𝓂𝓎 𝓅𝑜𝓈𝓉𝓈. 𝒪𝒽, 𝒶𝓁𝓈𝑜, 𝐼 𝒻𝑜𝓇𝑔𝑜𝓉 𝓉𝑜 𝓂𝑒𝓃𝓉𝒾𝑜𝓃 𝓉𝒽𝒶𝓉 𝓂𝓎 𝓃𝒶𝓂𝑒'𝓈 𝒥𝑒𝒻𝒻 𝒶𝓃𝒹 𝐼 𝓁𝒾𝓋𝑒 𝒾𝓃 𝒫𝒽𝒾𝓁𝒶𝒹𝑒𝓁𝓅𝒽𝒾𝒶 𝓃𝑜𝓌. 𝑀𝒶𝓎𝒷𝑒 𝐼'𝓁𝓁 𝓁𝒾𝓋𝑒 𝒾𝓃 𝒶 𝒹𝒾𝒻𝒻𝑒𝓇𝑒𝓃𝓉 𝓅𝒶𝓇𝓉 𝑜𝒻 𝓉𝒽𝑒 𝓌𝑜𝓇𝓁𝒹 𝒾𝓃 𝓉𝒽𝑒 𝒻𝓊𝓉𝓊𝓇𝑒, 𝒷𝓊𝓉 𝓉𝒽𝒶𝓉'𝓈 𝓌𝒽𝑒𝓇𝑒 𝐼 𝓁𝒾𝓋𝑒 𝒻𝑜𝓇 𝓃𝑜𝓌. 𝒪𝒦, 𝐼 𝒻𝑒𝑒𝓁 𝓁𝒾𝓀𝑒 𝐼'𝓋𝑒 𝓉𝒶𝓀𝑒𝓃 𝓊𝓅 𝑒𝓃𝑜𝓊𝑔𝒽 𝑜𝒻 𝓎𝑜𝓊 𝓉𝒾𝓂𝑒 𝒽𝑒𝓇𝑒 𝑜𝓃 𝓉𝒽𝑒 𝓂𝒶𝓇𝓆𝓊𝑒𝑒𝑒... 𝒮𝑜 𝑔𝑒𝓉 𝓉𝑜 𝒸𝓁𝒾𝒸𝓀𝒾𝓃' 𝒶𝓃𝒹 𝓈𝒸𝓇𝑜𝓁𝓁𝒾𝓃'! 𝒞𝓁𝒾𝒸𝓀𝒾𝓃'... 𝒮𝒸𝓇𝑜𝓁𝓁𝒾𝓃'...𝒶𝒽, 𝒿𝓊𝓈𝓉 𝓉𝒽𝑒 𝒷𝑒𝓈𝓉 𝓈𝓉𝓊𝒻𝒻 𝑜𝓃 𝓉𝒽𝑒 𝑒𝒶𝓇𝓉𝒽 𝒾𝓂𝑜. 𝒜 𝑔𝑜𝑜𝒹 𝓅𝓁𝒶𝒸𝑒 𝓉𝑜 𝓈𝓉𝒶𝓇𝓉 𝓂𝒾𝑔𝒽𝓉 𝒷𝑒 𝓉𝒽𝑒 𝒹𝓇𝑜𝓅-𝒹𝑜𝓌𝓃 𝓂𝑒𝓃𝓊 𝒹𝒾𝓇𝑒𝒸𝓉𝓁𝓎 𝒷𝑒𝓁𝑜𝓌, 𝓌𝒽𝒾𝒸𝒽 𝒾𝓈 𝓉𝒽𝑒 𝓂𝑜𝓈𝓉 𝒸𝑜𝓂𝓅𝓇𝑒𝒽𝑒𝓃𝓈𝒾𝓋𝑒 𝓁𝒾𝓈𝓉 𝑜𝒻 𝒶𝓁𝓁 𝓉𝒽𝑒 𝒹𝓊𝓂𝒷 𝓅𝓇𝑜𝒿𝑒𝒸𝓉𝓈 𝐼'𝓋𝑒 𝓂𝒶𝒹𝑒 𝒾𝓃 𝓉𝒽𝑒 𝒶𝓇𝓉𝓈. 𝐻𝒶𝓋𝑒 𝒶 𝑔𝑜𝑜𝒹 𝒹𝒶𝓎. 𝒢𝑜𝒷 𝒷𝓁𝑒𝓈𝓈. 💨🤢
   K E Y:  ✄= art ✎= lit ♪= music ✪= video;  = highly recommended content

WEDNESDAY NFL WEEK 1 PICK REVIEW + GUESSING THE LINES FOR WEEK 2

WEEK 1 🏈 5-9-1
🗝 0-1
🐶 0-1
5️⃣ 1-4
🚩 1-2


W e e k _ 1 _ P i c k s _ R e v i e w
💫 KC (+9) @ NE | 42-27 ⬆︎21: surprising final outcome, easy cover; will likely lead to NE value in weeks ~2-4 at least

💣 NYJ (+8) @ BUF | 12-21 ⬇︎9: sorta bad beat; feel like Jets maybe even played better than they are though

💫 ATL @ CHI (+7) | 23-17 ⬇︎8: maybe my best call of week 1; stand by making this my 🐶 pick as CHI had chance at end

💣 JAX @ HOU (-5.5) | 29-7 ⬇︎2: a 💣 if there ever was one, among my worst 🗝's ever; result probably over/undervalued each team though

💫 PHI (-1) @ WSH | 30-17 ⬇︎2.5: sloppy game & not as easy a cover as score indicates; be wary with both teams in the short-term

💣 AZ (-2.5) @ DET | 23-35 ⬆︎9.5: tracking this game I didn't realize how bad AZ played; both teams are ?'s in my book for now

💣 OAK @ TEN (-3) | 26-16 ⬇︎8.5: OAK defense was the story big-time; both teams feel like potential playoff squads though

💣 BAL @ CIN (-3) | 20-0 ⬇︎21.5: another one I got miserably wrong; not as high on Ravens as some, but they have my attention

💣 PIT (-9) @ CLE | 21-18 ⬇︎8: PIT was still a late stand away from covering the 9 despite not playing well; not buying CLE hype (if there is any)

💫 IND @ LAR (-4) | 9-46 ⬆︎13.5: this one and CAR/SF were my two best calls; shoulda banged them harder ($$) :(

💣 CAR (-5) @ SF | 23-3 ⬇︎19.5: probably more an indication of CAR being 'back' then SF being truly awful; they should be better than last season

💫 SEA (+3) @ GB | 9-17 ⬇︎24: stand by this pick; different game if early defensive TD stands for SEA

💣 NYG (+4.5) @ DAL | 3-19 ⬇︎24:I don't wanna talk about this one; NYG will be a rough sell until offense is overhauled

💣 NO (+3) @ MIN 19-29 ⬆︎0.5:another one I'm kicking myself over; totally bought into the AP/Minny hype & forgot how awful NO are on the road vs. legit D's

🅿️ LAC @ DEN (-3) ⬆︎3.5: classic push; game pretty much went as expected

GENERAL NOTES:

• Week 1 Underdogs ATS: 7-7-1 • Underdogs (3+) winning outright (4 🐩*road): KC*, JAX*, OAK*, BAL*

• Home teams are 8-6-1 ATS

• OVERALL CONF ATS: NFC 8-7 / AFC 6-7-2 • AFC vs NFC 0-1 ATS

• After the Thursday opener went over by 24 points, Unders 10-4 with a whopping 7 of those games going under by a full TD or more (and in four games the under hit by a ridiculous 19 points or more).

• 9 of 15 teams covered by double digits, but only 3 of those were favorites (and Eagles were only -1).

GUESSING WEEK 2 LINES:


TEAM BY TEAM (TO DATE):
💙 NYG: 0-1 ATS | 0-1 ROAD ATS | -10 AVG | 0-1-0 OVERALL
👢 DAL: 1-0 ATS | 1-0 HOME ATS | +10 AVG | 1-0-0 OVERALL
🦅 PHI: 1-0 ATS | 1-0 ROAD ATS | +12 AVG | 1-0-0 OVERALL
❓ WSH: 0-1 ATS | 0-1 HOME ATS | -12 AVG | 0-1-0 OVERALL

🎺 MIN: 1-0 ATS | 1-0 HOME ATS | +7 AVG | 1-0-0 OVERALL
🧀 GB: 1-0 ATS | 1-0 HOME ATS | +5.5 AVG | 1-0-0 OVERALL
🐻 CHI: 1-0 ATS | 1-0 HOME ATS | +0.5 AVG | 0-0-1 OVERALL
🦁 DET: 1-0 ATS | 1-0 HOME ATS | +14.5 AVG | 1-0-0 OVERALL

⚔️ TB N/A
🕊 ATL: 0-1 ATS | 0-1 ROAD ATS | +0.5 AVG | 0-0-1 OVERALL
🐱 CAR: 1-0 ATS | 1-0 ROAD ATS | +15 AVG | 1-0-0 OVERALL
⚜️ NO: 0-1 ATS | 0-1 ROAD ATS | -7 AVG | 0-1-0 OVERALL

💰 SF: 0-1 ATS | 0-1 HOME ATS | -15 AVG | 0-0-1 OVERALL
🛑 AZ: 0-1 ATS | 0-1 ROAD ATS | -14.5 AVG | 0-1-0 OVERALL
🐦 SEA: 0-1 ATS | 0-1 ROAD ATS | -5.5 AVG | 0-1-0 OVERALL
🐑 LAR: 1-0 ATS | 1-0 HOME ATS | +33.5 AVG | 1-0-0 OVERALL

🤡 NE: 0-1 ATS | 0-1 HOME ATS | -23 AVG | 0-1-0 OVERALL
🐬 MIA N/A
🅱️ BUF: 1-0 ATS | 1-0 HOME ATS | +1.5 AVG | 1-0-0 OVERALL
✈️ NYJ: 0-1 ATS | 0-1 ROAD ATS | -1.5 AVG | 0-1-0 OVERALL

⚫️ PIT: 0-1 ATS | 0-1 ROAD ATS | -7 AVG | 0-0-1 OVERALL
🐕 CLE: 1-0 ATS | 1-0 HOME ATS | +7 AVG | 0-0-1 OVERALL
🐧 BAL: 1-0 ATS | 1-0 ROAD ATS | +22.5 AVG | 1-0-0 OVERALL 🐩 x 1
🐯 CIN: 0-1 ATS | 0-1 HOME ATS | -22.5 AVG | 0-1-0 OVERALL

🤠 HOU: 0-1 ATS | 0-1 HOME ATS | -28 AVG | 0-1-0 OVERALL
🐆 JAX: 1-0 ATS | 1-0 ROAD ATS | +28 AVG | 1-0-0 OVERALL 🐩 x 1
🏋️ TEN: 0-1 ATS | 0-1 HOME ATS | -12.5 AVG | 0-0-1 OVERALL
🐴 IND: 0-1 ATS | 0-1 ROAD ATS | -33.5 AVG | 0-1-0 OVERALL

⚡️ LAC: 0-0-1 ATS | 0-0-1 ROAD ATS | 0-0-1 OVERALL
🏇 DEN: 0-0-1 ATS | 0-0-1 HOME ATS | 0-0-1 OVERALL
☠️ OAK: 1-0 ATS | 1-0 ROAD ATS | +12.5 AVG | 0-0-1 OVERALL 🐩 x 1
🔺 KC: 1-0 ATS | 1-0 ROAD ATS | +23 AVG | 1-0-0 OVERALL 🐩 x 1

THE YEAR 🏈 5-9-1
🗝 0-1
🐶 0-1
5️⃣ 1-4
🚩 1-2

...ended Sunday ⬆︎ $76˙˙

HISTORICAL
2015: 141-110-5
2016: 120-129-7
ALL-TIME: 261-239-12