• ๐’ฒ๐‘’๐“๐’ธ๐‘œ๐“‚๐‘’ ๐“‰๐‘œ ๐“‚๐“Ž ๐“Œ๐‘’๐’ท๐“ˆ๐’พ๐“‰๐‘’! ๐’ฒ๐‘œ๐“Œ ๐“๐‘œ๐‘œ๐“€ ๐’ถ๐“‰ ๐“‰๐’ฝ๐’พ๐“ˆ ๐“‰๐‘’๐“๐“‰ ๐’ถ๐“๐“ ๐“‰๐’ฝ๐‘’ ๐“Œ๐’ถ๐“Ž ๐‘œ๐“ƒ ๐“‰๐’ฝ๐‘’ ๐“‰๐‘œ๐“… ๐‘œ๐’ป ๐“‰๐’ฝ๐‘’ ๐“…๐’ถ๐‘”๐‘’, ๐“Œ๐’ฝ๐’ถ๐“‰'๐“ˆ ๐’พ๐“‰ ๐’น๐‘œ๐’พ๐“ƒ๐‘” ๐’ฝ๐‘’๐“‡๐‘’? ๐ผ ๐’ท๐‘’๐“‰ ๐“‰๐’ฝ๐’ถ๐“‰'๐“ˆ ๐“Œ๐’ฝ๐’ถ๐“‰ ๐“Ž๐‘œ๐“Š'๐“‡๐‘’ ๐“Œ๐‘œ๐“ƒ๐’น๐‘’๐“‡๐’พ๐“ƒ๐‘”. ๐ผ๐’ป ๐“Ž๐‘œ๐“Š'๐“‡๐‘’ ๐“ƒ๐‘œ๐“‰ ๐“Œ๐‘œ๐“ƒ๐’น๐‘’๐“‡๐’พ๐“ƒ๐‘” ๐“‰๐’ฝ๐’ถ๐“‰ ๐“‰๐’ฝ๐‘’๐“ƒ ๐“‚๐’ถ๐“Ž๐’ท๐‘’ ๐“Ž๐‘œ๐“Š'๐“‡๐‘’ ๐“Œ๐‘œ๐“ƒ๐’น๐‘’๐“‡๐’พ๐“ƒ๐‘” ๐“Œ๐’ฝ๐’ถ๐“‰ ๐“Ž๐‘œ๐“Š ๐’ถ๐“‡๐‘’ ๐‘”๐‘œ๐’พ๐“ƒ๐‘” ๐“‰๐‘œ ๐’ฝ๐’ถ๐“‹๐‘’ ๐’ป๐‘œ๐“‡ ๐“๐“Š๐“ƒ๐’ธ๐’ฝ; ๐ผ ๐‘œ๐’ป๐“‰๐‘’๐“ƒ ๐“Œ๐‘œ๐“ƒ๐’น๐‘’๐“‡ ๐’ถ๐’ท๐‘œ๐“Š๐“‰ ๐“‰๐’ฝ๐’ถ๐“‰. ๐’œ๐“ƒ๐“Ž๐’ฝ๐‘œ๐“Œ, ๐’พ๐’ป ๐“Ž๐‘œ๐“Š'๐“‡๐‘’ ๐“ˆ๐“‰๐’พ๐“๐“ ๐“‡๐‘’๐’ถ๐’น๐’พ๐“ƒ๐‘” ๐“‰๐’ฝ๐’พ๐“ˆ ๐“‰๐‘’๐“๐“‰ ๐“ˆ๐’ธ๐“‡๐‘œ๐“๐“, ๐“๐‘’๐“‰ ๐“‚๐‘’ ๐’ฟ๐“Š๐“ˆ๐“‰ ๐“ˆ๐’ถ๐“Ž ๐“‰๐’ฝ๐’ถ๐“‰ ๐’พ๐“‰'๐“ˆ ๐’ถ ๐“…๐“๐‘’๐’ถ๐“ˆ๐“Š๐“‡๐‘’ ๐“‰๐‘œ ๐’ฝ๐’ถ๐“‹๐‘’ ๐“Ž๐‘œ๐“Š ๐’ธ๐‘œ๐“‚๐‘’ ๐’ถ๐“ƒ๐’น ๐“‹๐’พ๐“ˆ๐’พ๐“‰ ๐“‚๐“Ž ๐“Œ๐‘’๐’ท๐“…๐’ถ๐‘”๐‘’ ๐’ถ๐“ƒ๐’น ๐ผ ๐“‡๐‘’๐’ถ๐“๐“๐“Ž ๐’ฝ๐‘œ๐“…๐‘’ ๐“Ž๐‘œ๐“Š ๐’ป๐‘œ๐“๐“๐‘œ๐“Œ ๐’ถ๐“๐‘œ๐“ƒ๐‘” ๐’ถ๐“ƒ๐’น ๐“‚๐’ถ๐“Ž๐’ท๐‘’ ๐‘’๐“‹๐‘’๐“ƒ ๐’ท๐‘œ๐‘œ๐“€๐“‚๐’ถ๐“‡๐“€ ๐’พ๐“‰ ๐“ˆ๐‘œ ๐“Ž๐‘œ๐“Š ๐’ธ๐’ถ๐“ƒ ๐“‹๐’พ๐“ˆ๐’พ๐“‰ ๐’พ๐“‰ ๐“Œ๐’พ๐“‰๐’ฝ ๐‘’๐’ถ๐“ˆ๐‘’ ๐’พ๐“ƒ๐“ˆ๐’พ๐’น๐‘’ ๐“Ž๐‘œ๐“Š๐“‡ ๐“Œ๐‘’๐’ท ๐’ท๐“‡๐‘œ๐“Œ๐“ˆ๐‘’๐“‡ ๐‘œ๐’ป ๐’ธ๐’ฝ๐‘œ๐’พ๐’ธ๐‘’. ๐ผ ๐’ถ๐“‚ ๐’ถ๐“๐“ˆ๐‘œ ๐’ป๐’ถ๐’พ๐“‡๐“๐“Ž ๐’ถ๐’ธ๐“‰๐’พ๐“‹๐‘’ ๐‘œ๐“ƒ ๐’ถ ๐’ฝ๐‘œ๐“ˆ๐“‰ ๐‘œ๐’ป ๐“ˆ๐‘œ๐’ธ๐’พ๐’ถ๐“ ๐“‚๐‘’๐’น๐’พ๐’ถ ๐“…๐“๐’ถ๐“‰๐’ป๐‘œ๐“‡๐“‚๐“ˆ ๐“ˆ๐‘œ ๐“Ž๐‘œ๐“Š ๐’ธ๐’ถ๐“ƒ ๐’ป๐’พ๐“ƒ๐’น ๐“‚๐‘’ ๐‘œ๐“ƒ ๐“‰๐’ฝ๐‘œ๐“ˆ๐‘’, ๐’ถ๐“ƒ๐’น ๐“๐’พ๐“€๐‘’, ๐’ป๐‘œ๐“๐“๐‘œ๐“Œ, ๐“ˆ๐“Š๐’ท๐“ˆ๐’ธ๐“‡๐’พ๐’ท๐‘’ ๐’ถ๐“ƒ๐’น ๐‘”๐‘’๐“ƒ๐‘’๐“‡๐’ถ๐“๐“๐“Ž ๐’ฟ๐“Š๐“ˆ๐“‰ ๐’ฝ๐’ถ๐“‹๐‘’ ๐’ถ ๐“๐‘œ๐“‰ ๐‘œ๐’ป ๐’ป๐“Š๐“ƒ ๐“‡๐‘’๐’ถ๐’น๐’พ๐“ƒ๐‘” ๐’ถ๐“ƒ๐’น, ๐’พ๐’ป ๐’พ๐“‰ ๐“ˆ๐“‰๐“‡๐’พ๐“€๐‘’๐“ˆ ๐“Ž๐‘œ๐“Š๐“‡ ๐’ป๐’ถ๐“ƒ๐’ธ๐“Ž, *๐“ˆ๐’ฝ๐’ถ๐“‡๐’พ๐“ƒ๐‘”* (๐“Œ๐’พ๐“ƒ๐“€-๐“Œ๐’พ๐“ƒ๐“€) ๐“‚๐“Ž ๐“…๐‘œ๐“ˆ๐“‰๐“ˆ. ๐’ช๐’ฝ, ๐’ถ๐“๐“ˆ๐‘œ, ๐ผ ๐’ป๐‘œ๐“‡๐‘”๐‘œ๐“‰ ๐“‰๐‘œ ๐“‚๐‘’๐“ƒ๐“‰๐’พ๐‘œ๐“ƒ ๐“‰๐’ฝ๐’ถ๐“‰ ๐“‚๐“Ž ๐“ƒ๐’ถ๐“‚๐‘’'๐“ˆ ๐’ฅ๐‘’๐’ป๐’ป ๐’ถ๐“ƒ๐’น ๐ผ ๐“๐’พ๐“‹๐‘’ ๐’พ๐“ƒ ๐’ซ๐’ฝ๐’พ๐“๐’ถ๐’น๐‘’๐“๐“…๐’ฝ๐’พ๐’ถ ๐“ƒ๐‘œ๐“Œ. ๐‘€๐’ถ๐“Ž๐’ท๐‘’ ๐ผ'๐“๐“ ๐“๐’พ๐“‹๐‘’ ๐’พ๐“ƒ ๐’ถ ๐’น๐’พ๐’ป๐’ป๐‘’๐“‡๐‘’๐“ƒ๐“‰ ๐“…๐’ถ๐“‡๐“‰ ๐‘œ๐’ป ๐“‰๐’ฝ๐‘’ ๐“Œ๐‘œ๐“‡๐“๐’น ๐’พ๐“ƒ ๐“‰๐’ฝ๐‘’ ๐’ป๐“Š๐“‰๐“Š๐“‡๐‘’, ๐’ท๐“Š๐“‰ ๐“‰๐’ฝ๐’ถ๐“‰'๐“ˆ ๐“Œ๐’ฝ๐‘’๐“‡๐‘’ ๐ผ ๐“๐’พ๐“‹๐‘’ ๐’ป๐‘œ๐“‡ ๐“ƒ๐‘œ๐“Œ. ๐’ช๐’ฆ, ๐ผ ๐’ป๐‘’๐‘’๐“ ๐“๐’พ๐“€๐‘’ ๐ผ'๐“‹๐‘’ ๐“‰๐’ถ๐“€๐‘’๐“ƒ ๐“Š๐“… ๐‘’๐“ƒ๐‘œ๐“Š๐‘”๐’ฝ ๐‘œ๐’ป ๐“Ž๐‘œ๐“Š ๐“‰๐’พ๐“‚๐‘’ ๐’ฝ๐‘’๐“‡๐‘’ ๐‘œ๐“ƒ ๐“‰๐’ฝ๐‘’ ๐“‚๐’ถ๐“‡๐“†๐“Š๐‘’๐‘’๐‘’... ๐’ฎ๐‘œ ๐‘”๐‘’๐“‰ ๐“‰๐‘œ ๐’ธ๐“๐’พ๐’ธ๐“€๐’พ๐“ƒ' ๐’ถ๐“ƒ๐’น ๐“ˆ๐’ธ๐“‡๐‘œ๐“๐“๐’พ๐“ƒ'! ๐’ž๐“๐’พ๐’ธ๐“€๐’พ๐“ƒ'... ๐’ฎ๐’ธ๐“‡๐‘œ๐“๐“๐’พ๐“ƒ'...๐’ถ๐’ฝ, ๐’ฟ๐“Š๐“ˆ๐“‰ ๐“‰๐’ฝ๐‘’ ๐’ท๐‘’๐“ˆ๐“‰ ๐“ˆ๐“‰๐“Š๐’ป๐’ป ๐‘œ๐“ƒ ๐“‰๐’ฝ๐‘’ ๐‘’๐’ถ๐“‡๐“‰๐’ฝ ๐’พ๐“‚๐‘œ. ๐’œ ๐‘”๐‘œ๐‘œ๐’น ๐“…๐“๐’ถ๐’ธ๐‘’ ๐“‰๐‘œ ๐“ˆ๐“‰๐’ถ๐“‡๐“‰ ๐“‚๐’พ๐‘”๐’ฝ๐“‰ ๐’ท๐‘’ ๐“‰๐’ฝ๐‘’ ๐’น๐“‡๐‘œ๐“…-๐’น๐‘œ๐“Œ๐“ƒ ๐“‚๐‘’๐“ƒ๐“Š ๐’น๐’พ๐“‡๐‘’๐’ธ๐“‰๐“๐“Ž ๐’ท๐‘’๐“๐‘œ๐“Œ, ๐“Œ๐’ฝ๐’พ๐’ธ๐’ฝ ๐’พ๐“ˆ ๐“‰๐’ฝ๐‘’ ๐“‚๐‘œ๐“ˆ๐“‰ ๐’ธ๐‘œ๐“‚๐“…๐“‡๐‘’๐’ฝ๐‘’๐“ƒ๐“ˆ๐’พ๐“‹๐‘’ ๐“๐’พ๐“ˆ๐“‰ ๐‘œ๐’ป ๐’ถ๐“๐“ ๐“‰๐’ฝ๐‘’ ๐’น๐“Š๐“‚๐’ท ๐“…๐“‡๐‘œ๐’ฟ๐‘’๐’ธ๐“‰๐“ˆ ๐ผ'๐“‹๐‘’ ๐“‚๐’ถ๐’น๐‘’ ๐’พ๐“ƒ ๐“‰๐’ฝ๐‘’ ๐’ถ๐“‡๐“‰๐“ˆ. ๐ป๐’ถ๐“‹๐‘’ ๐’ถ ๐‘”๐‘œ๐‘œ๐’น ๐’น๐’ถ๐“Ž. ๐’ข๐‘œ๐’ท ๐’ท๐“๐‘’๐“ˆ๐“ˆ. ๐Ÿ’จ๐Ÿคข
   K E Y:  ✄= art ✎= lit ♪= music ✪= video;  = highly recommended content

Wednesday, September 13, 2017

WEDNESDAY NFL WEEK 1 PICK REVIEW + GUESSING THE LINES FOR WEEK 2

WEEK 1 ๐Ÿˆ 5-9-1
๐Ÿ— 0-1
๐Ÿถ 0-1
5️⃣ 1-4
๐Ÿšฉ 1-2


W e e k _ 1 _ P i c k s _ R e v i e w
๐Ÿ’ซ KC (+9) @ NE | 42-27 ⬆︎21: surprising final outcome, easy cover; will likely lead to NE value in weeks ~2-4 at least

๐Ÿ’ฃ NYJ (+8) @ BUF | 12-21 ⬇︎9: sorta bad beat; feel like Jets maybe even played better than they are though

๐Ÿ’ซ ATL @ CHI (+7) | 23-17 ⬇︎8: maybe my best call of week 1; stand by making this my ๐Ÿถ pick as CHI had chance at end

๐Ÿ’ฃ JAX @ HOU (-5.5) | 29-7 ⬇︎2: a ๐Ÿ’ฃ if there ever was one, among my worst ๐Ÿ—'s ever; result probably over/undervalued each team though

๐Ÿ’ซ PHI (-1) @ WSH | 30-17 ⬇︎2.5: sloppy game & not as easy a cover as score indicates; be wary with both teams in the short-term

๐Ÿ’ฃ AZ (-2.5) @ DET | 23-35 ⬆︎9.5: tracking this game I didn't realize how bad AZ played; both teams are ?'s in my book for now

๐Ÿ’ฃ OAK @ TEN (-3) | 26-16 ⬇︎8.5: OAK defense was the story big-time; both teams feel like potential playoff squads though

๐Ÿ’ฃ BAL @ CIN (-3) | 20-0 ⬇︎21.5: another one I got miserably wrong; not as high on Ravens as some, but they have my attention

๐Ÿ’ฃ PIT (-9) @ CLE | 21-18 ⬇︎8: PIT was still a late stand away from covering the 9 despite not playing well; not buying CLE hype (if there is any)

๐Ÿ’ซ IND @ LAR (-4) | 9-46 ⬆︎13.5: this one and CAR/SF were my two best calls; shoulda banged them harder ($$) :(

๐Ÿ’ฃ CAR (-5) @ SF | 23-3 ⬇︎19.5: probably more an indication of CAR being 'back' then SF being truly awful; they should be better than last season

๐Ÿ’ซ SEA (+3) @ GB | 9-17 ⬇︎24: stand by this pick; different game if early defensive TD stands for SEA

๐Ÿ’ฃ NYG (+4.5) @ DAL | 3-19 ⬇︎24:I don't wanna talk about this one; NYG will be a rough sell until offense is overhauled

๐Ÿ’ฃ NO (+3) @ MIN 19-29 ⬆︎0.5:another one I'm kicking myself over; totally bought into the AP/Minny hype & forgot how awful NO are on the road vs. legit D's

๐Ÿ…ฟ️ LAC @ DEN (-3) ⬆︎3.5: classic push; game pretty much went as expected

GENERAL NOTES:

• Week 1 Underdogs ATS: 7-7-1 • Underdogs (3+) winning outright (4 ๐Ÿฉ*road): KC*, JAX*, OAK*, BAL*

• Home teams are 8-6-1 ATS

• OVERALL CONF ATS: NFC 8-7 / AFC 6-7-2 • AFC vs NFC 0-1 ATS

• After the Thursday opener went over by 24 points, Unders 10-4 with a whopping 7 of those games going under by a full TD or more (and in four games the under hit by a ridiculous 19 points or more).

• 9 of 15 teams covered by double digits, but only 3 of those were favorites (and Eagles were only -1).

GUESSING WEEK 2 LINES:


TEAM BY TEAM (TO DATE):
๐Ÿ’™ NYG: 0-1 ATS | 0-1 ROAD ATS | -10 AVG | 0-1-0 OVERALL
๐Ÿ‘ข DAL: 1-0 ATS | 1-0 HOME ATS | +10 AVG | 1-0-0 OVERALL
๐Ÿฆ… PHI: 1-0 ATS | 1-0 ROAD ATS | +12 AVG | 1-0-0 OVERALL
❓ WSH: 0-1 ATS | 0-1 HOME ATS | -12 AVG | 0-1-0 OVERALL

๐ŸŽบ MIN: 1-0 ATS | 1-0 HOME ATS | +7 AVG | 1-0-0 OVERALL
๐Ÿง€ GB: 1-0 ATS | 1-0 HOME ATS | +5.5 AVG | 1-0-0 OVERALL
๐Ÿป CHI: 1-0 ATS | 1-0 HOME ATS | +0.5 AVG | 0-0-1 OVERALL
๐Ÿฆ DET: 1-0 ATS | 1-0 HOME ATS | +14.5 AVG | 1-0-0 OVERALL

⚔️ TB N/A
๐Ÿ•Š ATL: 0-1 ATS | 0-1 ROAD ATS | +0.5 AVG | 0-0-1 OVERALL
๐Ÿฑ CAR: 1-0 ATS | 1-0 ROAD ATS | +15 AVG | 1-0-0 OVERALL
⚜️ NO: 0-1 ATS | 0-1 ROAD ATS | -7 AVG | 0-1-0 OVERALL

๐Ÿ’ฐ SF: 0-1 ATS | 0-1 HOME ATS | -15 AVG | 0-0-1 OVERALL
๐Ÿ›‘ AZ: 0-1 ATS | 0-1 ROAD ATS | -14.5 AVG | 0-1-0 OVERALL
๐Ÿฆ SEA: 0-1 ATS | 0-1 ROAD ATS | -5.5 AVG | 0-1-0 OVERALL
๐Ÿ‘ LAR: 1-0 ATS | 1-0 HOME ATS | +33.5 AVG | 1-0-0 OVERALL

๐Ÿคก NE: 0-1 ATS | 0-1 HOME ATS | -23 AVG | 0-1-0 OVERALL
๐Ÿฌ MIA N/A
๐Ÿ…ฑ️ BUF: 1-0 ATS | 1-0 HOME ATS | +1.5 AVG | 1-0-0 OVERALL
✈️ NYJ: 0-1 ATS | 0-1 ROAD ATS | -1.5 AVG | 0-1-0 OVERALL

⚫️ PIT: 0-1 ATS | 0-1 ROAD ATS | -7 AVG | 0-0-1 OVERALL
๐Ÿ• CLE: 1-0 ATS | 1-0 HOME ATS | +7 AVG | 0-0-1 OVERALL
๐Ÿง BAL: 1-0 ATS | 1-0 ROAD ATS | +22.5 AVG | 1-0-0 OVERALL ๐Ÿฉ x 1
๐Ÿฏ CIN: 0-1 ATS | 0-1 HOME ATS | -22.5 AVG | 0-1-0 OVERALL

๐Ÿค  HOU: 0-1 ATS | 0-1 HOME ATS | -28 AVG | 0-1-0 OVERALL
๐Ÿ† JAX: 1-0 ATS | 1-0 ROAD ATS | +28 AVG | 1-0-0 OVERALL ๐Ÿฉ x 1
๐Ÿ‹️ TEN: 0-1 ATS | 0-1 HOME ATS | -12.5 AVG | 0-0-1 OVERALL
๐Ÿด IND: 0-1 ATS | 0-1 ROAD ATS | -33.5 AVG | 0-1-0 OVERALL

⚡️ LAC: 0-0-1 ATS | 0-0-1 ROAD ATS | 0-0-1 OVERALL
๐Ÿ‡ DEN: 0-0-1 ATS | 0-0-1 HOME ATS | 0-0-1 OVERALL
☠️ OAK: 1-0 ATS | 1-0 ROAD ATS | +12.5 AVG | 0-0-1 OVERALL ๐Ÿฉ x 1
๐Ÿ”บ KC: 1-0 ATS | 1-0 ROAD ATS | +23 AVG | 1-0-0 OVERALL ๐Ÿฉ x 1

THE YEAR ๐Ÿˆ 5-9-1
๐Ÿ— 0-1
๐Ÿถ 0-1
5️⃣ 1-4
๐Ÿšฉ 1-2

...ended Sunday ⬆︎ $76˙˙

HISTORICAL
2015: 141-110-5
2016: 120-129-7
ALL-TIME: 261-239-12