WEDNESDAY NFL WEEK 1 PICK REVIEW + GUESSING THE LINES FOR WEEK 2

WEEK 1 🏈 5-9-1
πŸ— 0-1
🐢 0-1
5️⃣ 1-4
🚩 1-2


W e e k _ 1 _ P i c k s _ R e v i e w
πŸ’« KC (+9) @ NE | 42-27 ⬆︎21: surprising final outcome, easy cover; will likely lead to NE value in weeks ~2-4 at least

πŸ’£ NYJ (+8) @ BUF | 12-21 ⬇︎9: sorta bad beat; feel like Jets maybe even played better than they are though

πŸ’« ATL @ CHI (+7) | 23-17 ⬇︎8: maybe my best call of week 1; stand by making this my 🐢 pick as CHI had chance at end

πŸ’£ JAX @ HOU (-5.5) | 29-7 ⬇︎2: a πŸ’£ if there ever was one, among my worst πŸ—'s ever; result probably over/undervalued each team though

πŸ’« PHI (-1) @ WSH | 30-17 ⬇︎2.5: sloppy game & not as easy a cover as score indicates; be wary with both teams in the short-term

πŸ’£ AZ (-2.5) @ DET | 23-35 ⬆︎9.5: tracking this game I didn't realize how bad AZ played; both teams are ?'s in my book for now

πŸ’£ OAK @ TEN (-3) | 26-16 ⬇︎8.5: OAK defense was the story big-time; both teams feel like potential playoff squads though

πŸ’£ BAL @ CIN (-3) | 20-0 ⬇︎21.5: another one I got miserably wrong; not as high on Ravens as some, but they have my attention

πŸ’£ PIT (-9) @ CLE | 21-18 ⬇︎8: PIT was still a late stand away from covering the 9 despite not playing well; not buying CLE hype (if there is any)

πŸ’« IND @ LAR (-4) | 9-46 ⬆︎13.5: this one and CAR/SF were my two best calls; shoulda banged them harder ($$) :(

πŸ’£ CAR (-5) @ SF | 23-3 ⬇︎19.5: probably more an indication of CAR being 'back' then SF being truly awful; they should be better than last season

πŸ’« SEA (+3) @ GB | 9-17 ⬇︎24: stand by this pick; different game if early defensive TD stands for SEA

πŸ’£ NYG (+4.5) @ DAL | 3-19 ⬇︎24:I don't wanna talk about this one; NYG will be a rough sell until offense is overhauled

πŸ’£ NO (+3) @ MIN 19-29 ⬆︎0.5:another one I'm kicking myself over; totally bought into the AP/Minny hype & forgot how awful NO are on the road vs. legit D's

πŸ…Ώ️ LAC @ DEN (-3) ⬆︎3.5: classic push; game pretty much went as expected

GENERAL NOTES:

• Week 1 Underdogs ATS: 7-7-1 • Underdogs (3+) winning outright (4 🐩*road): KC*, JAX*, OAK*, BAL*

• Home teams are 8-6-1 ATS

• OVERALL CONF ATS: NFC 8-7 / AFC 6-7-2 • AFC vs NFC 0-1 ATS

• After the Thursday opener went over by 24 points, Unders 10-4 with a whopping 7 of those games going under by a full TD or more (and in four games the under hit by a ridiculous 19 points or more).

• 9 of 15 teams covered by double digits, but only 3 of those were favorites (and Eagles were only -1).

GUESSING WEEK 2 LINES:


TEAM BY TEAM (TO DATE):
πŸ’™ NYG: 0-1 ATS | 0-1 ROAD ATS | -10 AVG | 0-1-0 OVERALL
πŸ‘’ DAL: 1-0 ATS | 1-0 HOME ATS | +10 AVG | 1-0-0 OVERALL
πŸ¦… PHI: 1-0 ATS | 1-0 ROAD ATS | +12 AVG | 1-0-0 OVERALL
❓ WSH: 0-1 ATS | 0-1 HOME ATS | -12 AVG | 0-1-0 OVERALL

🎺 MIN: 1-0 ATS | 1-0 HOME ATS | +7 AVG | 1-0-0 OVERALL
πŸ§€ GB: 1-0 ATS | 1-0 HOME ATS | +5.5 AVG | 1-0-0 OVERALL
🐻 CHI: 1-0 ATS | 1-0 HOME ATS | +0.5 AVG | 0-0-1 OVERALL
🦁 DET: 1-0 ATS | 1-0 HOME ATS | +14.5 AVG | 1-0-0 OVERALL

⚔️ TB N/A
πŸ•Š ATL: 0-1 ATS | 0-1 ROAD ATS | +0.5 AVG | 0-0-1 OVERALL
🐱 CAR: 1-0 ATS | 1-0 ROAD ATS | +15 AVG | 1-0-0 OVERALL
⚜️ NO: 0-1 ATS | 0-1 ROAD ATS | -7 AVG | 0-1-0 OVERALL

πŸ’° SF: 0-1 ATS | 0-1 HOME ATS | -15 AVG | 0-0-1 OVERALL
πŸ›‘ AZ: 0-1 ATS | 0-1 ROAD ATS | -14.5 AVG | 0-1-0 OVERALL
🐦 SEA: 0-1 ATS | 0-1 ROAD ATS | -5.5 AVG | 0-1-0 OVERALL
πŸ‘ LAR: 1-0 ATS | 1-0 HOME ATS | +33.5 AVG | 1-0-0 OVERALL

🀑 NE: 0-1 ATS | 0-1 HOME ATS | -23 AVG | 0-1-0 OVERALL
🐬 MIA N/A
πŸ…±️ BUF: 1-0 ATS | 1-0 HOME ATS | +1.5 AVG | 1-0-0 OVERALL
✈️ NYJ: 0-1 ATS | 0-1 ROAD ATS | -1.5 AVG | 0-1-0 OVERALL

⚫️ PIT: 0-1 ATS | 0-1 ROAD ATS | -7 AVG | 0-0-1 OVERALL
πŸ• CLE: 1-0 ATS | 1-0 HOME ATS | +7 AVG | 0-0-1 OVERALL
🐧 BAL: 1-0 ATS | 1-0 ROAD ATS | +22.5 AVG | 1-0-0 OVERALL 🐩 x 1
🐯 CIN: 0-1 ATS | 0-1 HOME ATS | -22.5 AVG | 0-1-0 OVERALL

🀠 HOU: 0-1 ATS | 0-1 HOME ATS | -28 AVG | 0-1-0 OVERALL
πŸ† JAX: 1-0 ATS | 1-0 ROAD ATS | +28 AVG | 1-0-0 OVERALL 🐩 x 1
πŸ‹️ TEN: 0-1 ATS | 0-1 HOME ATS | -12.5 AVG | 0-0-1 OVERALL
🐴 IND: 0-1 ATS | 0-1 ROAD ATS | -33.5 AVG | 0-1-0 OVERALL

⚡️ LAC: 0-0-1 ATS | 0-0-1 ROAD ATS | 0-0-1 OVERALL
πŸ‡ DEN: 0-0-1 ATS | 0-0-1 HOME ATS | 0-0-1 OVERALL
☠️ OAK: 1-0 ATS | 1-0 ROAD ATS | +12.5 AVG | 0-0-1 OVERALL 🐩 x 1
πŸ”Ί KC: 1-0 ATS | 1-0 ROAD ATS | +23 AVG | 1-0-0 OVERALL 🐩 x 1

THE YEAR 🏈 5-9-1
πŸ— 0-1
🐢 0-1
5️⃣ 1-4
🚩 1-2

...ended Sunday ⬆︎ $76˙˙

HISTORICAL
2015: 141-110-5
2016: 120-129-7
ALL-TIME: 261-239-12

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