TNF: Texans @ New England

New segment time! Each week I think I am gonna give my picks for fun player & game props on the Thursday Night NFL game. Here goes:

• D Hopkins ↑ 6.5 Receptions (EVEN): As the old saying goes, stars shine on #TNF. And I could definitely see Belichick focusing a little more on the rookie Fuller to derail the balanced Texans attack. 6.5 seems about right, but I'll take the OVER, especially with EVEN money odds. BONUS PROP: Hopkins - Record 9 or More Receptions (+400).

• D Amendola ↓ 3 Receptions (EVEN): Jacoby B tossed the ball nine times last week and Amendola was targeted zero times. That's all I got for this one. (Also I'm just a sucker for EVEN money odds on these props).

• Patriots to win by 4-6 points (+950): My gut says the Pats win this game. My wallet says I like hitting bets that pay +950. I think the game will be close throughout, though, which leads us to another fun longshot ...

• Game tied at the half / Patriots win (+1400): Ya gotta believe. This is an eyes closed three-pointer attempt, but not the craziest prop ever.

• J Brissett scores a rushing TD + Patriots win (+1400): Watch Edelman come out at QB and eff up all these bets.

• 6-point teaser – Patriots +7 & ↑ 35 (-110): Was waiting on the total to (potentially) move to 40.5 and, during said waiting, the line moved from +1.5 to +1 (both moneylines are currently -110 as well) so I just hopped on this 'as is'. Not ideal, but let's do it. I'm 3 out of 4 correctly teasing the O/U and the line thus far in the first two TNF games this season.

Good luck, sports fans! Stay tuned for my Piano NFL Picks podcast coming later today.

UPDATE: The Brissett score + Pats win prop paid for the night.


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